What Factors Affect Indian Stock Market?

Economy’s health has many indicators, and the share market is one of them. Any up or down in the economy influences the share market like slowness in the economy. There are many economic factors which bring a notable change in the evaluation of stocks. Among them, inflation or deflation, changes in interest rates, happenings in global markets, and confidence and expectations are the notable ones.

Indian share market

Here we see how these four factors affect the share market.

  1. Inflation

In a particular period of time, any rise in the services and average price of goods in the economy is defined as inflation. Share market affected by any rise and fall in the inflation. In high inflation, it takes them many months to pass on higher input cost to consumers. Impact of inflation on the economy and stock markets is different, so it confuses the investor. Inflation affects their savings, which tend to hold less cash. By holding less cash, it tends them to invest less in the stock market. Share market is impacted by the influenced interest rate policy also. The rise in prices is inflation but when the prices continuously go up it becomes trouble. The high rates tend to bring down demand and reduce overall sending.

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  1. Interest rates

Share market is affected by the change in interest rates. If the key policy rates increase it means that investors will not be able to borrow money as they were borrowing earlier because borrowing becomes expensive. For compensation, the company starts cutting their expenses and laying off workers. This all adds up to cause a dive in share markets. When the repo rate goes up, it leads to higher loan repayment cost. This rising cost reduces the net profit, which can be seen in the share market. Lower interest rates attract more investors and tend to the economic growth.

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  1. Global markets

Share market is affected in a number of ways by the global economic trends. In the time of global recession, companies are incapable of selling as many goods overseas as they used to. This affects the revenue and by this share market is affected. If overseas markets begin to fail or observe a sharp dive, then it affects the share market.

Must Read: How to deal with the stock market’s ups and downs?

  1. Confidence and expectations

The mood of the investor is a key factor. According to the news they buy or sell the shares. Share markets can start to rise in the depth of the recession. Share market is totally dependent on the investors, they can change the worst face of the market and share market can rally.

Must Read: How to control investment loss in share market?

Conclusion

Share market is affected by many factors but the above four are some main factors which we discussed. In the share market, many points are considerable, which fluctuates due to the economy. The investors can change the worse part of the share market by investing in it.

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How is the stock price of a company decided?

People are so confused with stock prices and the stock market. Every company has its own value and it is reflected in its stock price. There is a real business behind these complex products and these stock prices. First of all, it is important to know about face value and the trading price.

stock price

Face value

When there is no change in the price of business and it remains the same. For example, a company has 1000 shares @ Rs 5 a share. If the company increases the face value of its share to Rs 10 then the no. of shares reduces to 500 only. In the above procedure, the price of business remains the same. Face value can only be changed by the company. Whenever a company changes its face value, it has the same effect on trading price because of the circulation changes.

Trading price

If a company is listed on an exchange then its share price is determined by the supply and demand of the share. If more people are buying the share then the price goes up until it finds equilibrium. If more people are selling the share, the price of share falls. The trading price of any share is directly proportional to the profit and maturity of the company.

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What happens to the listed shares?

An investor pays for the share that are the future returns a company makes. Company’s future plans and current business is subjective to its future returns. While the overall industry and economic situation play the main role in determining the share price.

How much return will you get?

Almost complete market research is based on how much money a business will make in the future.

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Two main methods for price estimation:

  1. Price-earnings method– It is the ratio between the current market price and trailing 12 months EPS (Earnings Per Share). This ratio shows how much will market pay today.
  2. Cash flow method- It is a popular method for companies that do not depend on much debt.

Calculation of present value

Present value= FCF/ (1+R) n

R= Discount rate

A discount rate is defined as the lowest rate of return from the investment. The rate which bank fixed deposit demands.

N= Number of years

Must Read: Share market investment tips for early-stage investors

In a determination of stock price, 2 factors play an important role.

  1. Forecasting of future returns

Future is uncertain and many opinions and predictions can be true. This creates different growth track for the company and people pays a different price for the same stock. This changes the company’s stock constantly.

  1. Manipulation

A business is not run by morally pure or most ethically people. There are corrupt promoters, news breakers, insiders, operators and so on. Many sellers and buyers take the price of a share to a new level where it makes no sense.

Conclusion

Many factors are responsible for a stock’s price. Stock price depends on the company’s business, how it is going and other factors. The demand and supply of the stock are also responsible for the stock’s price, how often investors are buying or selling the stocks etc. Here we have discussed many facts that are responsible for the stock’s price.

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How to increase capital through stock market?

Investors and general people are always on an outlook for quick and easy money which leads to riches and happiness. It is embedded in human nature to be constantly in search of some hidden keys to a treasure or winning a lottery ticket.

money

To make their dreams come true people buy lottery tickets or put money in those stocks which give unexpected high returns. Even it is a luck game and everybody cannot be lucky all the time. Relying only on luck is a foolish or desperate investment strategy to follow. In search for the success people often overlook the most powerful tool available that is time and compounding interest. To amass significant asset one should invest (not save) regularly, take a calculated risk, do not take an unnecessary financial risk, and let your money work harder for you over a period of time.

Few stocks will give you good returns and a few may make a loss. Here are few tips that the investor can follow to make the balance in his favor.

Purpose and time of the investment

You should first set time and the purpose for which you are investing. Ask yourself, will you be investing for six months, a year, five years or more? Secondly, are you investing for retirement, children’s college fees, purchasing a new vehicle, purchasing a new home, or build wealth for beneficiaries?

The stock market is volatile and there is no certainty that you will get the money when you need it. There are chances that your capital may not be available when you need it exactly. Hence it is always better to invest surplus money in stocks.

The growth in your stock portfolio depends upon few factors which are interdependent on each other. The capital that you invest, earning on your invested capital and time period you stay invested for.

In the perfect condition, you should start investing as soon as possible, save much as you can and invest in those stocks which give consistent returns that match with your risk tolerance.

Avoid leverage

The brokerage house gives you margin money to complete your purchase which can be nearly 50 percent of the purchase value. It is the use of borrowed money to execute your stock market strategy. The borrowed money ‘levers’ the result of price movement. If say you deal with your own money, whatever the profit or loss is yours. In case you margin money your profit or loss can double or even triple. It is not advisable to use margin money if possible avoid stock purchase on margin money unless and until you are too sure of the price movement.

Diversify your stock

It is better to diversify your share purchase which reduces the risk. You can diversify on basis of large cap, mid cap, and small capitalization companies. You can diversify according to sectors like banking, pharma, IT, mining, FMCG, etc.

If you want any tips regarding which stocks to invest in and for how long should you hold you can contact us. We perform fundamental and technical analysis and look into other factors before giving you any tip. Better still take the opportunity of a free trial by filling out the form.

Do you know earnings from stock market depend on your approach?

In lure of big money people are attracted to share market but let me caution you making money in stock market is not easy. It requires a lot of patience, a disciplined approach, sound research, and analysis apart from many other factors.

National-Stock-Exchange

The stock market is volatile and this has confused a lot of investors and traders alike. They are in confusion, should they buy, sell or hold on to the equity. There is no sure shot formula to succeed in the stock market, but there are few unsaid golden rules that will increase the chances of getting good returns.

Research before you invest

One should conduct proper research before investing in stocks and in actual practice, it is rarely done. Investors look for the name and brand of the company. Some have a preference only for particular industry or sector or brand and that is not the right way to put your money.

Only invest in the businesses that you have some knowledge about

Never invest simply in a stock instead invest in the business. When you buy shares you are a part owner of the company. So before you invest you should know what the company’s business is.

Never ever try to time the market

The stock market is highly unpredictable even Warren Buffett does not try to time the market, he does have his view about the price level an individual share can go (upside or downside). Majority of investors just do the opposite.

Avoid following the leader blindly

Usually, it is seen that the investor his highly influenced by his family members, friends, colleagues or acquaintance while investing in shares. Did they conduct an analysis before coming to the conclusion what to buy and what not to buy? Another tendency is to buy those shares that everyone around is buying, following the herd mentality. This strategy is sure to backfire. In Warren Buffett words: “be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful”.

Your strategy should have a disciplined approach

Volatility is a part and parcel of every stock market. It is seen that even in bull runs there are bouts of panic moments. In this volatility, many investors lose money even in bull runs. There should be a systematic and disciplined approach for generating good returns. Calculate out at what price you wish to buy shares and at what price you wish to sell them until then hold on to it.

Let not emotions come your way

Do not be carried away with your greed or fear emotions. Investors lose money because of their inability to control their emotions. The stock market is not the game for speculation. Analysis and proper calculations will create wealth for you; use your brain instead of your heart.

Let your portfolio be sufficiently broad

Diversification is the key to reduce your risk. Diversify your folio across different asset classes. This diversification depends upon your risk taking capacity. Also do not over diversify.

In case you need any help or have any queries regarding which stocks which should be bought or sold you can contact us and we will be glad to help you out.

How can intuition help to predict the share market?

Dictionary meaning of intuition is 1) the knowledge to understand something through instinct, without the conscious reasoning 2) without a conscious reasoning but only from instinctive feeling

intuition to predict

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Acquiring knowledge without evidence, proof or logical reasoning can be called intuition. It is a direct access to unconscious knowledge. The ability to understand without the need for conscious reasoning. According to modern psychology, it can encompass the capability to know justifiable solutions to decision making. A stock advisory company can help you in affirmation to your intuition whether both are in the same direction or not.

Standing at the bus stop or at the railway station, if you observe person near you minutely, you can guess what all is going in his mind. Is he worried, happy, stressed out and things like that. As a human being, we can intuitively feel the other person’s feeling.

Many people have an intuition about the things that will happen in future. As an observant trader, you can read the market pulse by your intuition and experience. You can read and feel what other traders in the market feel about the events of the market that will unfold. Same things hold true for nifty future tips.

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Many people do not realize that every human being has a varying capacity of intuition. Sometimes the feeling is so strong that it can be felt easily and strongly, and sometimes it is so feeble that one does not even realize it.

It so happens in share market that we plan to purchase certain shares but wait to reach our expected price. Once it reaches our expected we wait for it to go lower. It goes lower. We again wait for it to go still lower and keep on waiting to purchase at lower and lower prices. Then all of a sudden it shoots above our first purchasing prices. We fret and fume why we didn’t purchase at the proper time. Kept on waiting unnecessarily. The same thing also happens in commodity tips.

The same thing happens when selling. We keep on letting the prices move north and finally lose an opportunity to sell at the right time to get the best price.

Must Read: Why is research important in share trading?

Meditation helps intuition get stronger. Peaceful and free mind attracts more thoughts. It helps to judge things in a better way. One can calmly weigh both the pros and cons of the situation to come to a better conclusion.

How can intuition help to predict the share market?

Apply the logic of reading emotions and feeling to a crowd. While observing the crowd at share marketplace one can predict the behavior patterns arising. It can give you a rough understanding of what people are thinking. Like they do for nifty option tips.

Say on a particular day you felt that shares will be going down. But the prices go up. Based on your price observation and judgment along with your intuition in future, the price will fall. Though it may not happen at the same instant, it may take a day or two. Reading a stock market is something that needs to be done over a period of time.  Not to be based only on your experience or just plain assumptions.

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The available indicators and technical tools are available to predict the market movement, but without intuition they have limitations. These tools do help and support your intuition, and by practice and constant observation, you can get the better understanding of the market.

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